Wednesday, November 23, 2005

polls, polls, everywhere polls

having established my fascination yet skepticism of the countless polls out there, the media loves them (especially when it's bad for bush).

instead of focusing solely on the usual america-centered polling, relative la times newcomer max boot examines [bugmenot login] polls not typically covered:
Yet in a survey last month from the U.S.-based [conservative] International Republican Institute, 47% of Iraqis polled said their country was headed in the right direction, as opposed to 37% who said they thought that it was going in the wrong direction. And 56% thought things would be better in six months. Only 16% thought they would be worse.

American soldiers are also much more optimistic than American civilians. The Pew Research Center and the Council on Foreign Relations just released a survey of American elites that found that 64% of military officers are confident that we will succeed in establishing a stable democracy in Iraq. The comparable figures for journalists and academics are 33% and 27%, respectively.
a further signifier is the healthy reenlistment rate of the military. Boot continues with various political economic, media and military progress in iraq which does not receive much press here. but, Boot concludes
This is not meant to suggest that everything is wonderful in Iraq. The situation remains grim in many respects. But the most disheartening indicator of all is simply the American public's loss of confidence in the war effort. Abu Musab Zarqawi may be losing on the Arab street (his own family has disowned him), but he's winning on Main Street. And, as the Vietnam War showed, defeatism on the home front can become self-fulfilling.

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